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☆ America’s debt problem could spell higher interest rates in the rest of the world
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-17 | by ( Hanna Ziady | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +5 min

The IMF said Wednesday that increased government spending, growing public debt and elevated interest rates in the United States had contributed to high and volatile yields — or interest rates — on Treasuries, raising the risk of higher rates elsewhere. “Loose fiscal policy in the United States exerts upward pressure on global interest rates and the dollar,” Vitor Gaspar, director of the IMF’s fiscal affairs department, told reporters. Higher interest rates make it more costly for households and businesses to service their loans, which can lead to defaults that cause losses at banks and other lenders, increasing financial instability. That means that even if the Fed cuts interest rates later this year — the IMF’s central scenario — US government funding costs may not fall by the same margin, he added. The IMF expects US public debt to continue rising, helping drive government debt worldwide to close to 100% of global gross domestic product by 2029, from 93% last year.

Persons: ” Vitor Gaspar, ”, Jerome Powell, ” Tobias Adrian, Gaspar, Pierre, Olivier Gourinchas, That’s Organizations: London CNN, International Monetary Fund, IMF, Federal Reserve, Treasury Department, Treasury, US, Federal Locations: United States, Washington

☆ Watch CNBC's full interview with the Brazilian central bank governor
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-17 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWatch CNBC's full interview with the Brazilian central bank governorRoberto Campos Neto, governor of the Central Bank of Brazil, speaks to CNBC's Karen Tso at the IMF Spring Meetings in Washington, D.C.

Persons: Roberto Campos Neto, Karen Tso Organizations: Central Bank of Locations: Brazilian, Central Bank of Brazil, Washington ,

☆ Watch CNBC's full interview with German central bank chief Joachim Nagel
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-17 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWatch CNBC's full interview with German central bank chief Joachim NagelEuropean Central Bank policymaker Joachim Nagel speaks to CNBC’s Karen Tso at the IMF Spring Meetings taking place in Washington, D.C.

Persons: Joachim Nagel, Joachim Nagel European Central Bank policymaker Joachim Nagel, Karen Tso Organizations: Joachim Nagel European Central Bank Locations: Washington ,

☆ Russia is expected to grow faster than all advanced economies this year
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-17 | by ( Holly Ellyatt | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Bloomberg | Bloomberg | Getty ImagesRussia's economy is expected to grow faster than all advanced economies this year, according to the International Monetary Fund. The prediction will be galling for Western nations which have sought to economically isolate and punish Russia for its 2022 invasion of Ukraine. In short, Russia has adapted to a "new normal" as its economy has been put on a war footing. The Washington-based IMF includes the U.S., U.K., the euro area's largest economies, Canada and Japan as advanced economies. "If you look at Russia, today, production goes up, [for the] military, [and] consumption goes down.

Persons: Vladimir Putin, Uralvagonzavod, Ramil Sitdikov, Kristalina Georgieva, CNBC's Dan Murphy, Georgieva, Elvira Nabiullina, Andrey Rudakov Organizations: Evraz Consolidated, Siberian Metallurgical, Bloomberg, Getty, International Monetary Fund, U.S, Sputnik, Afp, IMF, TU, CNBC, World Governments, Bank of Russia, Duma Locations: Evraz Consolidated West, Novokuznetsk, Russia, Germany, France, Ukraine, India, China, Russian, Urals, Nizhny Tagil, Washington, Canada, Japan, Europe, Asia, Kazan, Dubai, Soviet Union, Russia's

☆ Fiscal policy must stay the course to manage rising debt, IMF's Gaspar says
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-17 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailFiscal policy must stay the course to manage rising debt, IMF's Gaspar saysVitor Gaspar, director of the IMF's fiscal affairs department, discusses the importance of fiscal and monetary policy working in tandem to tackle inflation.

Persons: IMF's Gaspar, Vitor Gaspar

☆ High company valuations a 'worry,' IMF's capital markets chief says
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-17 | by ( Karen Gilchrist | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

High corporate valuations could pose a significant risk to financial stability as market optimism becomes untethered from fundamentals, the IMF's director of the Monetary and Capital Markets Department said Tuesday. Financial markets have been on a tear for much of this year, buoyed by falling inflation and hopes of forthcoming interest rate cuts. But that "optimism" has stretched company valuations to a point where that could become vulnerable to an economic shock, Tobias Adrian said. "We do worry in some segments where valuations have become quite stretched," Adrian told CNBC's Karen Tso Tuesday. Adrian, who was speaking on the side lines of the IMF's Spring Meeting in Washington, said that credit markets were a particular area of concern.

Persons: Tobias Adrian, Adrian, Karen Tso Organizations: Monetary, Capital Markets, International Monetary Fund, World Bank Group, Washington DC, Capital Markets Department, Financial Locations: Washington, United States

☆ Bank of Korea chief says won volatility is a little 'excessive' and will intervene if needed
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-17 | by ( Sumathi Bala | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

The Bank of Korea will intervene to control currency volatility if needed, the central bank's chief told CNBC, describing the recent market fluctuations as a little "excessive." Central bank governor Rhee Chang-yong said external factors are fueling the Korean won 's movement. Rhee attributed the won's weakness to the strength of the U.S. dollar as well as geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. Weakness in other Asian currencies like the Japanese yen and Chinese yuan are also affecting the won, he added. The won strengthened on Wednesday to as high as 1,382.6 per dollar, up 1.26% after hitting a 17-month low and breaching a major threshold of 1,400 per dollar on Tuesday.

Persons: Rhee Chang, CNBC's Karen Tso, Rhee Organizations: Bank, CNBC, Korean, U.S Locations: Korea, Washington

☆ Risk of a global recession is minimal, IMF economist says — would take 'a lot to derail'
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-17 | by ( Jenni Reid | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

"When we do the risk assessment around that baseline, the chances that we would have something like a global recession is fairly minimal. The Washington DC-based institute this week nudged its global growth outlook slightly higher to 3.2% in 2024 and projects the same rate in 2025. One of the International Monetary Fund's top economists signals little risk of a global recession, despite the ongoing rumblings of geopolitical uncertainty. That has all combined with the ongoing Russia-Ukraine war, which had its biggest wider impact on energy prices in Europe in 2022. And that's one of the big risks that we do see, the implications that could have for oil prices could be substantial.

Persons: Gourinchas, Pierre, Olivier Gourinchas, Karen Tso, Gita Gopinath, we're Organizations: U.S, IMF, Washington DC, International Monetary, Palestinian, Hamas, CNBC Locations: Europe, New York, Germany, France, Italy, Spain, Portugal, Belgium, Gaza, Red, Yemeni, Russia, Ukraine, Asia, Israel, Iran

☆ US economy: IMF raises growth forecast and urges caution on rate cuts
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-16 | by ( Hanna Ziady | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +4 min

The IMF upgraded Tuesday its forecast for US economic growth to 2.7% this year — 0.6 percentage points higher than it predicted as recently as January. The Washington-based IMF expects the 20 countries that use the euro to grow just 0.8% this year, a downgrade of 0.1 percentage points from its January forecast. The global economy, meanwhile, is seen expanding by 3.2%, 0.1 percentage points more than predicted in January. China’s economy, the second-largest in the world, is forecast to grow 4.6%, while India is expected to notch growth of 6.8%. In contrast to the United States, “there is little evidence of overheating” in the euro area, according to Gourinchas.

Persons: Pierre, Olivier Gourinchas, ”, Gourinchas, it’s, …, ” Gourinchas, “ Organizations: London CNN, International Monetary Fund, IMF, Federal Reserve, UBS, European Central Bank, Reuters Locations: United States, Washington, China’s, India, Europe, China

☆ IMF upgrades global growth forecast as economy proves 'surprisingly resilient' despite downside risks
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-16 | by ( Karen Gilchrist | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

The International Monetary Fund on Tuesday slightly raised its global growth forecast, saying the economy had proven "surprisingly resilient" despite inflationary pressures and monetary policy shifts. The IMF now expects global growth of 3.2% in 2024, up by a modest 0.1 percentage point from its earlier January forecast, and in line with the growth projection for 2023. The IMF's chief economist, Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas, said the findings suggest the global economy is heading for a "soft landing," following a string of economic crises, and that the risks to the outlook were now broadly balanced. "Despite gloomy predictions, the global economy remains remarkably resilient, with steady growth and inflation slowing almost as quickly as it rose," he said in a blog post. But dimmer prospects in China and other large emerging market economies could weigh on global trade partners, the report said.

Persons: Pierre, Olivier Gourinchas Organizations: Monetary Fund, IMF, U.S Locations: Nanjing, China

☆ IMF's Gourinchas: See Fed cutting three times in 2024
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-16 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailIMF's Gourinchas: See Fed cutting three times in 2024Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas, economic counsellor and director of the Research Department at the IMF, weighs in on the fund's global outlook on growth and inflation, and why economies are beginning to see such divergence.

Persons: Pierre, Olivier Gourinchas Organizations: Research Department, IMF

☆ Stock market today: US futures tread water as Wall Street remains cautious
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-16 | by ( Polly Thompson | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . AdvertisementUS futures were little changed on Tuesday morning after a losing start to the week for all three major indices on Monday as investors worried about the Israel-Iran conflict. Nasdaq 100 futures were also level, while Dow Jones Industrial Average futures fell 0.1%. The combination of solid retail sales data and the risk-off nature of the Israel-Iran conflict saw yields on treasuries advance three basis points the previous day. Elsewhere, the release of strong March retail sales data on Monday signaled the resilience of the US economy, but also pushed back chances that the Fed will cut interest rates in June.

Persons: Morgan Stanley, —, Jerome Powell, Philip Jefferson, Johnson Organizations: Bank of America, Service, Nasdaq, Dow Jones Industrial, Dow, Treasury, Federal, IMF, United Health, Johnson Locations: Israel, Iran

☆ Geopolitical strife is roiling Wall Street. Here’s what investors are watching
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-16 | by ( Nicole Goodkind | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +7 min

Those what-ifs could further roil gas and oil prices. But if there’s further conflict, he said, “you’d see a much higher premium for oil prices. If there’s a de-escalation of tensions between Israel and Iran, they said, oil prices should come down over the next few weeks. But if there’s an escalation in conflict, they expect that oil prices could jump to more than $100 per barrel, they wrote in a note Monday. Retail sales rose 0.7% in March from the prior month, a slower pace than February’s upwardly revised 0.9% gain, the Commerce Department reported Monday.

Persons: New York CNN —, JPMorgan Chase, Jamie Dimon, ” Dimon, Jerome Powell, We’ll, Christine Lagarde, Andrew Bailey, Dave Sekera, Israel doesn’t, ”, “, Moody’s, there’s, Chris Isidore, Pete Muntean, Sam Salehpour, Read, Bryan Mena, Claire Tassin Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, New York CNN, Dow, JPMorgan, International Monetary Fund, IMF, Bank, Bank of Canada, Seven, European Central Bank, Bank of England, Morningstar, Nvidia, AMD, Wall Street Journal, Federal Reserve Bank of New, Boeing, Federal Aviation Administration, Alaska Airlines, Commerce Department, Morning, Amazon Locations: New York, Russia, Ukraine, China, United States, Washington ,, Iran, Israel, Federal Reserve Bank of New York

☆ Lagarde says ECB will cut rates soon, barring any major surprises; notes 'extremely attentive' to oil
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-16 | by ( Sam Meredith | In Samuelmeredith | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde on Tuesday said the central bank remains on course to cut interest rates in the near term, subject to any major shocks. Lagarde said the ECB would monitor oil prices "very closely" amid elevated fears of a spillover conflict in the Middle East. However, since Iran's unprecedented air attack on Israel over the weekend, she said the oil price reaction had been "relatively moderate." Her comments come shortly after the central bank gave its clearest indication to date that it could start cutting interest rates during its June meeting. The ECB on Thursday held interest rates steady at a record high for the fifth consecutive meeting, but signaled that cooling inflation means it could begin trimming soon.

Persons: Christine Lagarde, Lagarde, CNBC's Sara Eisen Organizations: European Central Bank, ECB Locations: Israel

☆ It's prudent for the Fed to 'wait and see' before cutting rates, says IMF's Gita Gopinath
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-16 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailIt's prudent for the Fed to 'wait and see' before cutting rates, says IMF's Gita GopinathGita Gopinath, first deputy managing director of the International Monetary Fund, tells CNBC's Karen Tso that it makes sense for the Federal Reserve to "wait and see" before starting to cut rates given the strength of the U.S. economy and stronger-than-expected inflation.

Persons: Gita Gopinath, Karen Tso Organizations: Fed, International Monetary Fund, Federal Reserve Locations: U.S

☆ IMF's Adrian: Do worry that some segments of the market are looking stretched
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-16 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailIMF's Adrian: Do worry that some segments of the market are looking stretchedTobias Adrian, the director of the Monetary and Capital Markets Department at the IMF, speaks to CNBC's Karen Tso at the IMF's Spring Meetings.

Persons: Adrian, Tobias Adrian, Karen Tso Organizations: Monetary, Capital Markets Department, IMF

☆ A spillover of Middle East tensions is a big geopolitical risk, says IMF's Gita Gopinath
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-16 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailA spillover of Middle East tensions is a big geopolitical risk, says IMF's Gita GopinathSpeaking to CNBC's Karen Tso at the International Monetary Fund's Spring Meetings, Gita Gopinath, first deputy managing director of the IMF, discusses the major geopolitical risks facing markets and the world.

Persons: Gopinath, Karen Tso, Gita Gopinath Organizations: International

☆ Structural changes are needed to get the economy growing again, says South Africa central bank head
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-16 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailStructural changes are needed to get the economy growing again, says South Africa central bank headSpeaking to CNBC's Karen Tso at the IMF Spring Meetings, Lesetja Kganyago, governor of the Reserve Bank of South Africa, discusses his country's economy and what's needed to improve the growth and inflation picture.

Persons: Karen Tso, Lesetja Kganyago Organizations: Reserve Bank of Locations: South Africa, Reserve Bank of South Africa

☆ Fed can start cutting interest rates by end of 2024, IMF managing director says
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-11 | by ( Alex Harring | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

The Federal Reserve should be able to start cutting interest rates by the end of 2024, according to Kristalina Georgieva, managing director of the International Monetary Fund. "We remain on our projection that we would see, by the end of the year, the Fed being in a position to take some action in a direction of bringing interest rates down," Georgieva said on CNBC's "Squawk on the Street." Fed funds futures pricing data suggests that the first rate cut could come in September, according to the CME FedWatch Tool. Georgieva said the Fed should continue following economic data, which will signal when it's appropriate to begin reducing the cost of borrowing money. Still, Georgieva warned that keeping interest rates elevated for longer than expected can create risks to financial stability for the rest of the world.

Persons: Kristalina Georgieva, Georgieva, Dow Jones Organizations: International Monetary Fund, World Bank, U.S Locations: U.S, United States

☆ Here's why the global growth outlook has improved
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-11 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailHere's why the global growth outlook has improvedKristalina Georgieva, managing director at the IMF, joins 'Squawk on the Street' to discuss the current global economic growth outlook, how the managing director views the path to U.S. inflation, and more.

Organizations: IMF

☆ Welcome to the 'tepid twenties,' a decade of sluggish growth and rising debt, IMF chief says
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-11 | by ( Filip De Mott | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +1 min

A decade of low growth and high debt is coming, IMF chief Kristalina Georgieva said in a Thursday speech. Medium-term global growth will reach just above 3% as productivity tumbles, the IMF estimates. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . AdvertisementThe world could soon sink into an era of depressed growth and spiraling debt, IMF managing director Kristalina Georgieva said in a speech delivered at an Atlantic Council event. "Without a course correction, we are indeed heading for 'the Tepid Twenties' — a sluggish and disappointing decade," she said Thursday.

Persons: Kristalina Georgieva, — Organizations: IMF, Service, Atlantic, Business

☆ How Trump’s tariff plans could kill jobs and worsen inflation
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-11 | by ( Matt Egan | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +10 min

Trump has floated a 10% across-the-board tariff on imports, a 60% tariff on imports from China and a 100% tariff on foreign cars – including from Mexico. Trump’s proposals, if enacted, could easily set off a new trade war with China and potentially other nations, too. Some economists are warning Trump’s trade agenda and the ensuing retaliation from trading partners would hurt the US economy by worsening inflation, killing jobs, depressing growth and spooking investors. It’s hard to say exactly because there is a lot of uncertainty over how much of Trump’s proposed agenda would actually be enacted. That’s because tariffs tax imports when they come ashore, adding costs for US distributors, retailers and, ultimately consumers.

Persons: he’s, Donald Trump, Trump, ” Alex Durante, Trump’s, ”, Mark Zandi, Goldman Sachs, ” Goldman Sachs, Jan Hatzius, ” Goldman, Janet Yellen, Joe Biden’s, Karoline Leavitt, ” “, ” Leavitt, “, Biden, “ Donald Trump, ” Biden, James Singer, Biden’s, That’s, Durante, Joe Brusuelas, don’t, ” Brusuelas, Brusuelas, Liz, Maury Obstfeld, Obstfeld, Obama, ” Durante Organizations: New, New York CNN —, Tax Foundation, CNN, Trump, China, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Federal Reserve, RSM, Target, Walmart, Peterson Institute for International Economics, International Monetary Fund, US International Trade Commission, “, Obama Locations: New York, China, Mexico, Beijing, United States

☆ Biden says U.S. economy is world's best. Trump calls it a 'cesspool.' Data is clear.
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-04 | by ( Rebecca Picciotto | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

President Joe Biden is fighting to convince inflation-weary voters that the U.S. economy is healthy. "America has the best economy in the world," he told NBC's Today Show on Monday, laying out an argument that is central to his reelection campaign. "The U.S. economy is leading the way for the global economy. It's driving the global economic train," Moody's Chief Economist Mark Zandi told CNBC. Besides sticky high prices that are projected to cool in the coming year, Zandi said that the fundamentals of the current U.S. economy are nearly ideal: "The economy is picture perfect.

Persons: Joe Biden, NBC's, Donald Trump, Trump, Mark Zandi, Dow Jones, Zandi Organizations: Flex, International Monetary Fund, IMF, CNBC Locations: U.S, West Columbia, South Carolina, America, United States, Georgia

☆ Meet the woman who engineered Russia's wartime economy and helped secure another term for Putin
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-02 | by ( Huileng Tan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +12 min

Russian central bank governor Elvira Nabiullina has played a key role in stabilizing Russia's sanctions-hit economy. It's also aimed at the woman behind him: Elvira Nabiullina, the country's central bank governor, who plays a chief role in keeping Russia's wartime economy ticking. At the time, she was the first woman to lead a Group of Eight, or G8, central bank. In 2015, Euromoney, a finance trade publication, named Nabiullina Central Bank Governor of the Year. In December, she issued a warning that Russia's economy was at risk of overheating.

Persons: Elvira Nabiullina, —, Putin, It's, Nabiullina, Daniel McDowell, McDowell, wined, Christine Lagarde, Nabiullina —, Richard Portes, Portes —, Portes, Anders Åslund, Åslund, Leo Tolstoy, Fyodor Dostoevsky, Franz Kafka, Yaroslav Kuzminov, Kuzminov, Nabiullina's, Alan Harvey, Herman Gref —, Central Bank Governor Elvira Nabiullina, Maxim Shemetov, Michel Camdessus, she's, isn't, Sergei Aleksashenko, Alexei Makarkin, Vladimir Pesnya, Nabiulina, let's Organizations: Ukraine, Service, Russian, KGB, Syracuse University, Kremlin, International Monetary Fund, US, London Business School, Moscow Times, Bloomberg, Higher School of Economics, —, Moscow State University, SNS, USSR, Industrial Union Board, Gref, Central Bank Governor, Nabiullina Central Bank Governor, Banker, Central Banker, IMF, Monetary Fund, Financial Times, Government, Political Technologies, Wall Street Journal, RBC, Politico Europe Locations: Russian, Ukraine, Russia, Brussels, Nabiullina, Swedish, Moscow, Ufa, Central Russia, Tatars, Crimea, Euromoney, Europe, steadying

☆ CNBC Daily Open: U.S. labor market is in 'good shape'
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-25 | by ( Sumathi Bala | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

This report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Asia stocks mixedAsia markets were mixed Monday with a slew of inflation data from the region due for release this week. Wall Street ended Friday on a mixed note ahead of a shortened four-day trading week due to the Good Friday holiday. "We really believe in style diversification and feel that remaining diversified with value and growth stocks remains prudent," Benson said.

Persons: Seng, Dow, Kristalina Georgieva, Aaron Benson, Baird, Benson Organizations: CNBC, CSI, Nikkei, Nasdaq, IMF, China, International Monetary Fund, Intel, AMD, Financial Times Locations: Asia, China, Beijing

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